Astronomy & Space

Space cargo costs predicted to plunge 90% within two decades

AI Insight

A Cambridge-led study projects that space cargo launch costs will decrease dramatically over the coming decades. The research forecasts that costs will drop by more than 50% by 2030 compared to current levels, and by approximately 93% by 2040. This dramatic reduction in launch expenses is expected to occur as the space industry continues to develop more efficient and reusable launch technologies.


Significantly lower launch costs could democratize access to space, enabling more scientific research, commercial ventures, and satellite deployment. The cost reduction may accelerate space-based technologies including telecommunications, Earth observation, and potentially space manufacturing and tourism.


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The expense of launching cargo into space will plummet over the next few years, with the cost of reaching orbit forecast to more than halve between now and the end of the decade, and fall by around 93% by 2040, according to new Cambridge-led research.

Source: Space cargo costs could fall more than 90% by 2040, study suggests