AI Insight
A prospective study using data from 376,535 U.S. participants in the All of Us research program found that long-term joint exposure to high nitrogen dioxide concentrations and high temperatures was associated with significantly increased risk of adult-onset asthma, with hazard ratios reaching 1.49 for the combination of high NO2 and high average temperature compared to low exposure in both categories. The study identified super-additive interaction effects, meaning the combined risk exceeded what would be expected from each factor alone, particularly among ever-smokers, lower-income individuals, and younger adults. These findings suggest that traffic-related air pollution and ambient temperature act synergistically to elevate asthma risk in vulnerable population subgroups.
Why it matters
As urban heat and traffic emissions remain persistent public health challenges, these findings underscore the need for integrated environmental policies that address both air quality and climate change, particularly in communities with limited economic resources or higher smoking prevalence. Identifying high-risk subgroups also has direct implications for targeted clinical screening and public health interventions.
⚠️ Preprint – Noch nicht peer-reviewed
Dieser Artikel wurde noch nicht von unabhängigen Experten begutachtet. Die Ergebnisse sind vorläufig und sollten mit Vorsicht interpretiert werden.
Background: Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) is a surrogate for traffic and industrial air pollution associated with adverse respiratory outcomes. Whether elevated NO2 and temperature jointly influence adult-onset asthma (AOA) risk is unclear, especially among subgroups with varying lifestyle and exposure profiles. We investigated further in the prospective All of Us research program. Methods: Among 596,926 U.S. participants who consented to electronic health record release, annual average NO2 concentrations from satellite data were linked to residential locations for 376,535 individuals. We used multivariable Cox regression to estimate associations between NO2, temperature, and incident AOA, adjusting for co-pollutants and potential confounders. We analyzed 4-category cross-classification variables between NO2 (high>75th percentile vs. low<=75th percentile) and maximum or average temperature (high>median vs. low<=median). We also stratified by sex, age, income, and smoking status. Additive interactions were estimated using Relative Excess Risk due to Interaction, Attributable Proportion, and Synergy Index. Results: We identified 10,413 incident AOA cases over an average 4-year follow-up. Participants with the highest categories of NO2 and temperature exposure had significantly higher risk compared to those with the lowest (HRHigh NO2 x High Max. Temp.=1.37, 95%CI:1.26-1.49; HRHigh NO2 x High Average Temp.=1.49, 95%CI:1.38-1.61). The joint association of high NO2 and high maximum temperature was more pronounced among ever-smokers (HR=1.59, 95%CI:1.40-1.81) than never-smokers (HR=1.26, 95%CI:1.13-1.41). Interaction analyses supported super-additive interactions of high NO2 and high average temperature on AOA risk, particularly among ever smokers, lower-income participants, and younger adults. Conclusion: Our findings highlight the respiratory health threat of long-term joint exposure to elevated NO2 and average temperature, particularly among vulnerable subgroups.