Psychology

Musicians’ Confidence in Their Ability Predicts Success in Live Performances

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Researchers developed and validated the Music Aptitude Self-Efficacy Scale (MASES), a new psychological assessment tool measuring adolescent musicians' confidence across three domains: cognitive-auditory abilities, psychomotor-performance skills, and affective regulation. Using a sample of 2,030 adolescents, the study found that the scale reliably measured these dimensions and that higher pre-examination self-efficacy scores positively correlated with better technical performance during live evaluations by expert judges. The findings demonstrate that anticipatory beliefs about one's musical competence can predict actual performance outcomes in high-stakes testing environments.


This validated assessment tool enables music educators and counselors to identify students who may need additional psychological support before major examinations or performances. By understanding students' self-efficacy profiles across different musical competency domains, educators can develop targeted interventions to address specific areas of low confidence and potentially improve performance outcomes.


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High-stakes musical aptitude examinations represent a significant source of evaluative stress for adolescent musicians, yet the psychological mechanisms that influence success in these environments require further empirical investigation. Grounded in social cognitive theory, this study developed and psychometrically evaluated the Music Aptitude Self-Efficacy Scale (MASES) to assess the multidimensional anticipatory beliefs of adolescents navigating these examinations. Utilizing a large adolescent sample (N = 2030), exploratory and confirmatory factor analyses supported a triadic structure comprising Cognitive-Auditory, Psychomotor-Performance, and Affective Regulation dimensions. The scale demonstrated internal consistency and concurrent validity against both domain-general and music-specific self-efficacy measures. Furthermore, predictive validity was examined through a live performance simulation evaluated by an expert jury, revealing a positive correlation between candidates’ pre-examination self-efficacy scores and their objective technical performance under stress. These findings indicate that the scale serves as a psychometric instrument for evaluating performance-related self-efficacy beliefs. By providing insights into adolescents’ perceived competence prior to evaluation, this tool can assist music educators and counselors in understanding students’ preparatory needs, contributing to a supportive educational framework.

Source: Anticipatory self-efficacy predicts live musical performance: development and validation of the Music Aptitude Self-Efficacy Scale